In project risk management, all potential risks are discovered during the "identify risks" phase and recorded in a project document referred to as the "risk register". Then comes qualitative risk analysis. It may then lead to quantitative risk analysis or right away to risk response planning. In other words, quantitative risk analysis is sometimes optional. What do these two distinct risk analysis mean?
Both qualitative risk analysis (QLRA) and quantitative risk analysis (QTRA) are critical steps in the risk management process in project management. They perform several functions and offer important information for successfully managing risks.1. Qualitative Risk Analysis (QLRA):
QLRA involves assessing risks based on their probability of occurrence, impact on project objectives, and other qualitative factors. It focuses on understanding the nature and characteristics of risks and their relative significance. QLRA helps in prioritizing risks based on their potential severity and determining the need for further analysis or risk response planning. It involves subjective assessments and uses techniques such as risk probability and impact assessment, risk categorization, and risk matrix analysis. If QLRA is done on a small number of high-priority issues rather than undertaking a thorough examination of all identified risks, it is called "partial risk analysis".
2. Quantitative Risk Analysis (QTRA):
QTRA involves a more quantitative and numerical assessment of risks. It aims to provide a more precise understanding of the potential impacts of risks on project objectives, such as cost, schedule, and quality. QTRA utilizes data, mathematical models, simulations, and statistical techniques to analyze risks in a quantitative manner. It helps project managers quantify the potential consequences of risks, estimate their probabilities and impacts more accurately, and make informed decisions about risk response strategies. QTRA provides valuable insights for resource allocation, contingency planning, and overall project planning.
When project objectives could be significantly impacted by potential risks, especially in larger and more complicated projects, QTRA is not optional but rather advised. A thorough QTRA might not be possible or necessary for smaller projects with constrained resources and time, though. Project managers in these circumstances can decide to concentrate on QLRA, which offers a qualitative understanding of risks and aids in prioritizing them for risk response planning.
In conclusion, QTRA is not optional but is rather advised for initiatives that involve high levels of risk. The decision to undertake a QTRA is based on the project's size, complexity, resource availability, and time restrictions. QLRA and QTRA complement each other in providing a thorough understanding of risks.